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Understanding the Growing Threat Landscape

In a recent ransomware attack, the attackers attained initial access by credentials that had been stolen, with no need for any software or exploits of zero day vulnerabilities. In 43 minutes, they managed to elevate their rights, strip security safeguards, and start data exfiltration. The organization took days to notice the breach after being sent a ransom demand.

Are your identity management systems protecting your business or allowing attackers to move without being noticed?

How Companies can build Resilience in the Age of Scale, Speed, and Complexity

The diversity of cyber threats is shifting at an unprecedented pace now that 2026 is imminent. The protection of cyberspace is now measured in terms of milliseconds, whereas before, it was measured in days or even hours. Cyber attackers can now utilize supply chains, ID mechanisms, and the element of human trust on a scale that has never been witnessed before.

At OneTen Technology, we help organizations understand the ever changing threat environment and create effective and risk based security strategies to resist modern cyber threats. In this paper, the primary themes that are shaping the global state of cyber threats in 2026, and how businesses can stay one step ahead, are being explored.

The 2026 Cyber Threat Landscape: Speed and Scale Define Risk

The hallmarks of the current threat environment are speed, automation, and commodity. Attackers complete breaking out after establishing initial access within less than an hour, which is referred to as breakout times. The time taken by many organizations to realize that an attack has occurred, once breached, is typically after the attack has gained momentum.

Conventional malware signatures are no longer the primary means being utilized in modern attacks. Rather, attackers are making detection even more complicated through their abuse of authorized tools, trusted access, and valid credentials. Most modern attacks would leave no traces, and identity abuse would exceed malware as the primary point of entry.

Important factors that would affect the year 2026 are:

  • Malware free intrusion is becoming the norm.
  • Generative AI powers large scale phishing & frauds
  • Increased cyber activity motivated by geopolitics and countries
  • An environment of professional cybercrime that removes the barriers of access

The New Cyber Battlefield: Identity and Access

In today’s cybersecurity environment, IAM has become the most attacked surface. The majority of modern cloud security and enterprise security breaches are now perpetrated not by classic malware or technical exploits but by credentials stolen or otherwise compromised, authentication tokens compromised, over privileged accounts, and privileged access granted to trusted third parties. Poor password hygiene, weak MFA, and telemetry light, over privileged users multiply the risk of credential based attacks. Bad actors log in today, blend in with normal user activity, and bypass traditional security controls more than they break in. Therefore, identity hardening, least privilege access, and constant authentication monitoring are quintessential parts of modern cybersecurity.

Social Engineering and GenAI, The Industrial Level

With social engineering attacks becoming so scalable and automated by generative AI, it is revolutionizing cyber crime. Large language models are now already used by AI driven phishing attacks, business email compromise (BEC), and fraud campaigns to craft convincing emails, create deepfakes of audio and video files, and automated scanning on a low budget scale. Since these AI driven cyberattacks involve exploiting human elements, not vulnerabilities, they can bypass endpoint security and traditional email security tools, which makes these attacks ‘deadly.’ Companies that have top notch cyber protections can still fall victim to AI driven phishing attacks and help desk fraud if compromised by convincing their employees to give access, which demands greater security awareness training and identity focused threat detection tools.

The Professionalization of Extortion and Ransomware as a Service

Ransomware attacks are currently one of the most common and harmful ever seen within today’s cyber crime environment due mainly to Ransomware as a Service (RaaS), which is known by many names that include Cold Business Model or Ransomware Services. The current ransomware business distinguishes itself from traditional attacks by dividing the attack chain into discrete parts, where access brokers sell compromised credentials, malware vendors provide rebuilt ransomware kits, and affiliate marketers engage in extortion and communication with those wishing to regain access. The acts of encrypting files now not only entail stealing files, blackmail, embarrassment, and reputation damage. The Costa Rican government attack in 2023 is one of the most telling examples of how sophisticated cyber crime operates like an actual business. A RaaS attack affected the country’s operations, locked essential systems with cryptograms, and threatened the leak of sensitive information.

Supply Chain Attacks: Abusing Trust for Persistence

Meanwhile, supply chain attacks have become the favorite play for state aligned threat actors and cybercriminals. Through the breach of a single trusted provider, an attacker can compound potential damage by gaining access to hundreds or even thousands of downstream organizations. Cloud platforms, software suppliers, and MSPs have become key targets for both thieves and regulators alike. An outstanding example was the 2021 Kaseya VSA hack, where hackers used the software of the MSP to infect more than 1,500 companies in many different parts of the world with ransomware. This incident underlined very nicely that vendor security supervision and third party risk management are today indistinct parts of a modern cybersecurity strategy.

The cyber threat environment in Europe: hacktivism, ransomware, and regulation

With recurring ransomware attacks, state aligned cyber espionage, and high profile hacktivist attempts, Europe’s cyber threat landscape has become increasingly intricate. Critical sectors such as infrastructure, public administration, transport, and banking are consistently under attack, demonstrating that operational and reputational risks are at play. While technically low impact, hacktivist attempts can create high profile disruption during periods of geopolitical tension, underscoring the need for proactive threat monitoring. Meanwhile, regulatory pressure continues to mount across the continent. Stricter incident reporting, governance, supply chain security, and board accountability are just some of the demanding controls now imposed by regimes such as NIS2, DORA, GDPR, as well as new cyber resilience regulations being developed have raised the bar regarding incident reporting, governance, supply chain security, and boardroom accountability. A case in point is the 2022 colonial pipeline ransomware incident, which, although it started in the US, cascaded into Europe regarding cyber resilience legislation of a NIS2 type affecting the whole energy supply chain.

Presently, cyber incidents have shifted from being a mere infrastructure topic to a business risk area carrying serious real world implications: multi country fines imposed by regulations, lawsuits, class action lawsuits, supply chain litigation, as well as long term damage to reputation. Boards of Directors and company management must make it their business to actually monitor cyber risk, making sure that cyber incident response, resilience planning, as well as related DORA regulatory obligations are fully integrated into corporate governance. As Peter Dalton of Herbert Smith Free hills puts it: “It is no longer an IT function that is concerned with cyber risk. It is a board level strategic challenge that can directly impact stock prices and business continuity.”

Building Cyber Resilience: A Risk Based Approach

Knowing what is of high value to the business is the key that unlocks prudent cyber resilience solutions. Businesses can identify business critical assets, business critical services, and the business impact of potential breaches through approaches such as Business Impact Analysis (BIA). This strategy allows business organizations to maintain business operations, adhere to regulatory requirements, build trust, and prioritize security investments that yield maximum return. A smarter cybersecurity defense solution comes from focusing on those assets of high value instead of trying to secure everything equally. Business Impact Analysis provides business organizations with information about potential business impact, which is an indispensable factor for developing an effective cybersecurity posture.

The Assume Breach Strategy: Recognize Early, Take Quick Action

Now is the time to shift to an assume breach posture based on the present threat environment. It is necessary to assume that an adversary has already gained their initial foothold. In this light, quick detection based on behavior, speed in detecting identities, proactive hunting, and correlation in telemetry are needed. With well rehearsed playbooks in incident response, the consequence will be minimal and with minimal impact. “Speed is key in today’s cybersecurity,” according to Lodi Hensen, vice president of Security Operations. The quicker you detect and respond to it, the less it will be affected.

How One Ten Technology Helps Businesses Stay Ahead

At One Ten Technology, we empower organizations to improve their cybersecurity posture by bringing people, technology, and processes into harmony. Our comprehensive approach encompasses supply chain risk visibility, threat detection and response that is both advanced and proactive, identity and access hardening, readiness for regulations and resilience, and a risk based security posture.

We empower organizations to transition from reactive defense to proactive cyber resilience through the integration of AI aided detection with expert knowledge, ensuring preparedness in the face of shifting threats. Those who can rapidly identify threats, take action decisively, understand their risks, and invest in expert led resiliency positions will thrive as the cyber landscape continues to evolve in complexity, velocity, and scale.

Organizations that want to improve their cyber resilience or want to be ahead of emerging threats will be glad to know that One Ten Technology is at their service and ready to offer expert advice and solutions that will help protect your business in 2026 and beyond.

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